Gainey goes in front at Chiquita Classic

Golf Betting Lines

07/16/2010 - Maineville, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Tommy Gainey posted a six-under 66 on Friday to move atop the leaderboard after the second round of the inaugural Chiquita Classic.

Gainey finished 36 holes at 14-under 130 at TPC River's Bend and is one stroke clear.

Chris Kirk, the leading money winner on the Nationwide Tour this year, fired an eight-under 64 on Friday to vault into a tie for second place with Justin Smith and Peter Gustafsson, both of whom had 66s in round two. The trio is knotted at 13-under 131.

Joe Affrunti (65), Colt Knost (66), Chris Nallen (66) and Brendan Steele (65) share fifth place at minus-12.

Gainey, who opened with an eight-under 64 on Thursday, flew out of the gate on Friday with three birdies in his first four holes. He recorded birdies at the next two par fives, Nos. 8 and 10 and added a birdied at the 11th.

"I had it going through 11," acknowledged Gainey. "Seven-under after 11 is pretty good. I wasn't thinking about 59 or 62 or anything like that. I just wanted to keep hitting good shots and keep making some birdies."

He accomplished half of his goal.

Gainey hit a good shot to 12 feet at the par-three 12th, but missed the birdie try. One hole later, Gainey knocked his approach to 10 feet, but once again, his birdie effort stayed above ground.

At the par-four 14th, Gainey played yet another strong iron shot, this time leaving himself 20 feet for birdie. He not only missed the birdie putt, but three-putted for a bogey to fall to 14-under par.

Gainey's group got behind thanks to the group in front looking for a ball and calling in a rules' official. He finished with four straight pars, but wasn't elated about the midway lead.

"The way I played the last five holes, I'm really not happy," admitted Gainey. "I just need to get away from it and relax. I had the momentum going after 11 and then we started waiting 15 to 20 minutes on every hole, that damaged my momentum. It's my fault. I'm the one who let it bother me."

Gainey won this year's Melwood Prince George's County Open for his only Nationwide Tour victory. He is fifth on the Nationwide Tour money list.

Stephen Poole (66) and David Mathis (64) are tied for ninth at 11-under 133.

NOTES: First-round leader Peter Tomasulo, who fired a 61 on Sunday to win last week's Wayne Gretzky Classic, followed his 10-under 62 on Thursday with an even-par 72 on Friday. He fell into a tie for 11th at 10-under par...The 36- hole cut fell at six-under 138 with Kevin Chappell, No. 2 on the money list, missing the weekend.

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Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?

Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.

“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.

“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “

What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?

There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).

Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).

How the Opening Line Is Made

The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.

Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.

Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.

Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.

The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.

A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.

Why Sports Betting Lines Change

Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:

Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game

Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)

The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.

Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.

For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.

Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."

“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”

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